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Early Retirement / Can I retire? I'm so tired of this job/HCOL area!
« on: March 20, 2021, 12:36:40 PM »
Hi! Huge fan of the blog, and am very grateful for all the advice over the years that you have provided for my family & I.
I'm tired.
I've been working a high-stress, politically charged job for 16 years, and I would love some input on whether or not I can OR even should retire early. The wife & I are both 40, and the kids are 6 & 9. I work for a local government agency, and when I reach 20 years of service I qualify for a 50% pension for the rest of my life. That's in 4 years.... That number can swing above 50% based on whether or not you contribute extra into the pension fund over the course of a career. Salary for last year was around $170k, and should remain consistent throughout the next 4 years. I have made excess contributions for most of my 16 years because it accrues at a guaranteed 8.25% interest. If I retire right now, I have an excess of about $250k that I have (2) options with:
1) I can leave the money IN the pension fund and will begin receiving approximately $86,000 per year for the rest of my life beginning in July of 2025.
or
2) I can withdraw $55k tax-free (because these were post-tax extra contributions) & roll over around $195k to my IRA to avoid any tax. This would reduce my pension in 2025 to around $60k per year.
Please note the pension has no COLA adjustments, so inflation would eventually chip away at it’s spending power.
The next option would be to STAY for 4 more years, reach my obligation and qualify for the full pension + a $12k bonus every year for the rest of my life. Guesstimating the pension at that time would be difficult due to future contract negotiations/raises.... but if I had to guess I'd say.... $90K if I withdraw the excess contributions from the pension fund and rollover/withdraw the tax-free amount, or $115k or so if I leave the excess contributions in. Just a guess, but I think these numbers should be pretty accurate. The problem is I don't want to stay in this job anymore, and I don't want to remain where we currently live. It is one of the highest cost of living locations in the US, and is abound with ‘issues’. On a Cost of Living comparison website, where the median cost nationwide is 100, my current location is 178. The area that I'm looking to relocate to is 78. $100k where I live now = $40k where we are considering, according to the site. We live in a 1500 sqft apartment, and the monthly maintenance/property tax = $1550 per month. No mortgage, paid it off last year. Also, no debt aside from credit cards that are paid off monthly for bonuses.
Our assets:
My 457: $192k
Her 457: $179k
My 401k: $125k
My Annuity Fund: $30k (will be rolled over to IRA at retirement)
My Roth IRA: $46k
Her Roth IRA: $45k
Her T-IRA: $6k
529-1: $20k
529-2: $20k
Vanguard Brokerage Acct: $65k
100% Home Equity - If sold, we would walk away with around $450k cash
Checking Account - $50k emergency fund
All investments are index funds - 100% equities. Mix of S&P/Total US Market funds. No bonds for me. I consider the pension and eventual Social Security payments as my fixed income… I would reach the second bend point in 2025, coincidentally, when I would reach the 20-year mark. So retiring 4 years early would be cutting down my SS payments by a bit.
As with anything in life, there’s pros and cons to each choice. If I stay for the next 4 years, the pension would substantially increase, however, that means I have to continue paying the high taxes/cost of living for the next 4 years as well. I can instantly cut our cost of living/expenses with an early retirement and geo-arbitrage. A nice sized home that would meet our needs where we are considering costs between $200-$225k, and the property taxes are extremely low at around $1500 per year. Not to mention, obviously, everything else is much cheaper as well. The thing is we’d need to fund our living with the (2) 457’s + taxable brokerage account until the pension kicks in in 2025 (and decide which pension option I’d be going with?)... Also, I have to mention that I would qualify for health insurance ($10 per month premium) for life at the 20-year mark, but the health insurance offered is extremely location-centric. I would have to stay in the HCOL area to take advantage of it. If we relocate, I would need to purchase health insurance through the marketplace, which of course would require me to stay within the income requirements to qualify for ACA subsidies.
Total in the 457’s = $371k
Taxable Brokerage Account after home sale: $450k + $65K + $55k (if pension withdrawal) = $570k
------------
Total: $941k - $225k for new house = $716k with no mortgage...... Or should we rent?
Should we stick it out? Should we leave? Can we even retire yet? I’m so conflicted…...
Thanks in advance for your help!
I'm tired.
I've been working a high-stress, politically charged job for 16 years, and I would love some input on whether or not I can OR even should retire early. The wife & I are both 40, and the kids are 6 & 9. I work for a local government agency, and when I reach 20 years of service I qualify for a 50% pension for the rest of my life. That's in 4 years.... That number can swing above 50% based on whether or not you contribute extra into the pension fund over the course of a career. Salary for last year was around $170k, and should remain consistent throughout the next 4 years. I have made excess contributions for most of my 16 years because it accrues at a guaranteed 8.25% interest. If I retire right now, I have an excess of about $250k that I have (2) options with:
1) I can leave the money IN the pension fund and will begin receiving approximately $86,000 per year for the rest of my life beginning in July of 2025.
or
2) I can withdraw $55k tax-free (because these were post-tax extra contributions) & roll over around $195k to my IRA to avoid any tax. This would reduce my pension in 2025 to around $60k per year.
Please note the pension has no COLA adjustments, so inflation would eventually chip away at it’s spending power.
The next option would be to STAY for 4 more years, reach my obligation and qualify for the full pension + a $12k bonus every year for the rest of my life. Guesstimating the pension at that time would be difficult due to future contract negotiations/raises.... but if I had to guess I'd say.... $90K if I withdraw the excess contributions from the pension fund and rollover/withdraw the tax-free amount, or $115k or so if I leave the excess contributions in. Just a guess, but I think these numbers should be pretty accurate. The problem is I don't want to stay in this job anymore, and I don't want to remain where we currently live. It is one of the highest cost of living locations in the US, and is abound with ‘issues’. On a Cost of Living comparison website, where the median cost nationwide is 100, my current location is 178. The area that I'm looking to relocate to is 78. $100k where I live now = $40k where we are considering, according to the site. We live in a 1500 sqft apartment, and the monthly maintenance/property tax = $1550 per month. No mortgage, paid it off last year. Also, no debt aside from credit cards that are paid off monthly for bonuses.
Our assets:
My 457: $192k
Her 457: $179k
My 401k: $125k
My Annuity Fund: $30k (will be rolled over to IRA at retirement)
My Roth IRA: $46k
Her Roth IRA: $45k
Her T-IRA: $6k
529-1: $20k
529-2: $20k
Vanguard Brokerage Acct: $65k
100% Home Equity - If sold, we would walk away with around $450k cash
Checking Account - $50k emergency fund
All investments are index funds - 100% equities. Mix of S&P/Total US Market funds. No bonds for me. I consider the pension and eventual Social Security payments as my fixed income… I would reach the second bend point in 2025, coincidentally, when I would reach the 20-year mark. So retiring 4 years early would be cutting down my SS payments by a bit.
As with anything in life, there’s pros and cons to each choice. If I stay for the next 4 years, the pension would substantially increase, however, that means I have to continue paying the high taxes/cost of living for the next 4 years as well. I can instantly cut our cost of living/expenses with an early retirement and geo-arbitrage. A nice sized home that would meet our needs where we are considering costs between $200-$225k, and the property taxes are extremely low at around $1500 per year. Not to mention, obviously, everything else is much cheaper as well. The thing is we’d need to fund our living with the (2) 457’s + taxable brokerage account until the pension kicks in in 2025 (and decide which pension option I’d be going with?)... Also, I have to mention that I would qualify for health insurance ($10 per month premium) for life at the 20-year mark, but the health insurance offered is extremely location-centric. I would have to stay in the HCOL area to take advantage of it. If we relocate, I would need to purchase health insurance through the marketplace, which of course would require me to stay within the income requirements to qualify for ACA subsidies.
Total in the 457’s = $371k
Taxable Brokerage Account after home sale: $450k + $65K + $55k (if pension withdrawal) = $570k
------------
Total: $941k - $225k for new house = $716k with no mortgage...... Or should we rent?
Should we stick it out? Should we leave? Can we even retire yet? I’m so conflicted…...
Thanks in advance for your help!